Assessment of dietary intake and its inflammatory potential in persons with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare diet and the modified dietary inflammatory index (mDII) between individuals with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (PoMS), monophasic acquired demyelinating syndromes (monoADS), and controls. METHODS: The association between diet, mDII, and disease status was examined in 131 individuals with PoMS/monoADS/controls (38/45/48) using logistic regression. RESULTS: The associations between diet and PoMS were modest, reaching significance for whole grain intake (adjusted odds ratio, aOR=0.964, 95 % confidence intervals, CI:0.934-0.995) but not mDII (aOR=1.20, 95 %CI:0.995-1.46) versus controls. No findings for monoADS reached significance versus controls. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with PoMS, but not monoADS, had lower dietary whole grain intake than controls.

Validation of the Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity Score in Three Canadian Provinces.

BACKGROUND: Stroke outcomes research requires risk-adjustment for stroke severity, but this measure is often unavailable. The Passive Surveillance Stroke SeVerity (PaSSV) score is an administrative data-based stroke severity measure that was developed in Ontario, Canada. We assessed the geographical and temporal external validity of PaSSV in British Columbia (BC), Nova Scotia (NS) and Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We used linked administrative data in each province to identify adult patients with ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage between 2014-2019 and calculated their PaSSV score. We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the association between the PaSSV score and the hazard of death over 30 days and the cause-specific hazard of admission to long-term care over 365 days. We assessed the models' discriminative values using Uno's c-statistic, comparing models with versus without PaSSV. RESULTS: We included 86,142 patients (n = 18,387 in BC, n = 65,082 in Ontario, n = 2,673 in NS). The mean and median PaSSV were similar across provinces. A higher PaSSV score, representing lower stroke severity, was associated with a lower hazard of death (hazard ratio and 95% confidence intervals 0.70 [0.68, 0.71] in BC, 0.69 [0.68, 0.69] in Ontario, 0.72 [0.68, 0.75] in NS) and admission to long-term care (0.77 [0.76, 0.79] in BC, 0.84 [0.83, 0.85] in Ontario, 0.86 [0.79, 0.93] in NS). Including PaSSV in the multivariable models increased the c-statistics compared to models without this variable. CONCLUSION: PaSSV has geographical and temporal validity, making it useful for risk-adjustment in stroke outcomes research, including in multi-jurisdiction analyses.

Disease-modifying drugs, multiple sclerosis and infection-related healthcare use in British Columbia, Canada: a population-based study.

Background: Much remains unknown surrounding the disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) used to treat multiple sclerosis and infection-related healthcare use in the 'real-world' setting. We examined if DMD exposure was associated with altered infection-related healthcare use. Methods: We assessed if DMD (versus no) exposure was associated with altered infection-related hospitalizations, physician claims, and prescriptions filled in British Columbia, Canada (1996-2017). Healthcare use was assessed using negative binomial and proportional means regression models, reported as sex-/age-/comorbidity-/calendar year-/socioeconomic-adjusted rate and hazard ratios [aRR, aHR], with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]). Findings: We identified 19,360 multiple sclerosis cases (13,940/19,360; 72.0% women; mean age at study start = 44.5 standard deviation, SD = 13.3; mean follow-up = 11.7 [SD = 7.3] years). Relative to unexposed periods, exposure to any DMD was associated with a lower infection-related rate of physician claims (aRR = 0.88; 95% CI:0.85-0.92) and hazard of hospitalization (aHR = 0.64; 95% CI:0.56-0.73), and a higher rate of infection-related prescriptions (aRR = 1.14; 95% CI:1.08-1.20). Exposure to any injectable or oral DMD was associated with a lower infection-related rate of physician claims (injectable aRR = 0.88; 95% CI:0.84-0.92, oral aRR = 0.83; 95% CI:0.77-0.90) and hazard of hospitalization (injectable aHR = 0.65; 95% CI:0.56-0.75, oral aHR = 0.54; 95% CI:0.38-0.77), whereas intravenous DMD exposure was not (aRR = 0.99; 95% CI:0.86-1.14, aHR = 0.73; 95% CI:0.49-1.09). Exposure to any injectable or intravenous DMD was associated with a higher rate of infection-related prescriptions (injectable aRR = 1.15; 95% CI:1.08-1.22, intravenous = 1.34; 95% CI:1.15-1.56), whereas oral DMDs were not (aRR = 0.98; 95% CI:0.91-1.05). Interpretation: DMD exposure for the treatment of MS was associated with differences in infection-related healthcare use. While infection-related hospitalizations and physician visits were lower, prescription fills were higher. How these differences in infection-related healthcare use affect outcomes in persons with multiple sclerosis warrants consideration. Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR); German Research Foundation (DFG).

Adverse Events Associated With Disease-Modifying Drugs for Multiple Sclerosis: A Multiregional Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: It is not possible to fully establish the safety of a disease-modifying drug (DMD) for multiple sclerosis (MS) from randomized controlled trials as only very common adverse events occurring over the short-term can be captured, and the quality of reporting has been variable. We examined the relationship between the DMDs for MS and potential adverse events in a multiregion population-based study. METHODS: We identified people with MS using linked administrative health data from 4 Canadian provinces. MS cases were followed from the most recent of first MS or related demyelinating disease event on January 1, 1996, until the earliest of emigration, death, or December 31, 2017. DMD exposure primarily comprised ß-interferon, glatiramer acetate, natalizumab, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, and alemtuzumab. We examined associations between DMD exposure and infection-related hospitalizations and physician visits using recurrent events proportional means models and between DMD exposure and 15 broad categories of incident adverse events using stratified multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We identified 35,894 people with MS. While virtually all DMDs were associated with a 42%-61% lower risk of infection-related hospitalizations, there was a modest increase in infection-related physician visits by 10%-33% for select DMDs. For incident adverse events, most elevated risks involved a second-generation DMD, with alemtuzumab's hazard of thyroid disorders being 19.42 (95% CI 9.29-36.51), hypertension 4.96 (95% CI 1.78-13.84), and cardiovascular disease 3.72 (95% CI 2.12-6.53). Natalizumab's highest risk was for cardiovascular disease (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.61; 95% CI 1.24-2.10). For the oral DMDs, fingolimod was associated with higher hazards of cerebrovascular (aHR 2.04; 95% CI 1.27-3.30) and ischemic heart diseases (aHR 1.64; 95% CI 1.10-2.44) and hypertension (aHR 1.73; 95% CI 1.30-2.31); teriflunomide with higher hazards of thyroid disorders (aHR 2.30; 95% CI 1.11-4.74), chronic liver disease (aHR 1.94; 95% CI 1.19-3.18), hypertension (aHR 1.76; 95% CI 1.32-2.37), and hyperlipidemia (aHR 1.61; 95% CI 1.07-2.44); and from complementary analyses (in 1 province), dimethyl fumarate with acute liver injury (aHR 6.55; 95% CI 1.96-21.87). DISCUSSION: Our study provides an extensive safety profile of several different DMDs used to treat MS in the real-world setting. Our findings not only complement those observed in short-term clinical trials but also provide new insights that help inform the risk-benefit profile of the DMDs used to treat MS in clinical practice. The results of this study highlight the continued need for long-term, independent safety studies of the DMDs used to treat MS. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that for patients with MS, while DMD exposure reduces the risk of infection-related hospitalizations, there are increased risks of infection-related physician visits and incident adverse events for select DMDs.

Incidence and prevalence of paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis in two Canadian provinces: a population-based study representing over half of Canada's population.

BACKGROUND: Population-based studies estimating the epidemiology of paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (PoMS) are scarce. METHODS: We accessed population-based health administrative data from two provinces in Canada, Ontario and British Columbia (BC). Individuals with PoMS were identified via a validated case definition. The index date ('MS onset') was the first demyelinating or MS specific claim recorded ≤18 years of age. We estimated the age-standardised annual incidence and prevalence of PoMS, and 95% CIs between 2003 and 2019. We used negative binomial regression models to assess the temporal changes in the annual crude incidence and prevalence of PoMS, and the ratios comparing sex groups. RESULTS: From 2003 to 2019, a total of 148 incident PoMS cases were identified in BC, and 672 in Ontario. The age-standardised annual incidence of PoMS was stable in both provinces, averaging 0.95 (95% CI 0.79 to 1.13) in BC and 0.98 (95%CI 0.84 to 1.12) in Ontario per 100 000 person-years. The incidence ratio by sex (female vs male) was also stable over the study period, averaging 1.5:1 (95% CI 1.06 to 2.08, BC) and 2.0:1 (95% CI 1.61 to 2.59, Ontario). The age-standardised prevalence per 100 000 people rose from 4.75 (2003) to 5.52 (2019) in BC and from 2.93 (2003) to 4.07 (2019) in Ontario, and the increase was statistically significant in Ontario (p=0.002). There were more female prevalent PoMS cases than males in both provinces. CONCLUSIONS: Canada has one of the highest rates of PoMS globally, and the prevalence, but not incidence, has increased over time. Allocation of resources to support the growing youth population with MS should be a priority.

Adherence to direct or vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation: a long-term observational study.

Our objectives were to measure long-term adherence to oral anticoagulants (OACs) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and to identify patient factors associated with adherence. Using linked, population-based administrative data from British Columbia, Canada, an incident cohort of adults prescribed OACs for AF was identified. We calculated the proportion of days covered (PDC) as a time-dependent covariate for each 90-day window from OAC initiation until the end of follow-up. Associations between patient attributes and adherence were assessed using generalized mixed effect linear regression models. 30,264 patients were included. Mean PDC was 0.69 (SD 0.28) over a median follow-up of 6.7 years. 54% of patients were non-adherent (PDC < 0.8). After controlling for confounders, factors positively associated with adherence were number of drug class switches, history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, history of vascular disease, time since initiation, and age. Age > 75 years at initiation, polypharmacy (among VKA users only), and receiving DOAC (vs. VKA) were negatively associated with adherence. PDC decreased over time for VKA users and increased for DOAC users. Over half of AF patients studied were, on average, nonadherent to OAC therapy and missed 32% of their doses. Several patient factors were associated with higher or lower adherence, and adherence to VKA declined during therapy while DOAC adherence increased slightly over time. To min im ize the risk stroke, adherence-supporting interventions are needed for all patients with AF, particularly those aged > 75 years, those with prior stroke or vascular disease, VKA users with polypharmacy, and DOAC recipients.

Gastrointestinal conditions in the multiple sclerosis prodrome.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate gastrointestinal (GI)-related physician visits and drug dispensations in the 5 years preceding a first recorded demyelinating event or multiple sclerosis (MS) onset. METHODS: Using linked administrative and clinical data from British Columbia (1996-2013), Canada, we identified an administrative cohort via a validated algorithm (n = 6863), a clinical cohort diagnosed at a MS clinic (n = 966), and matched controls (administrative cohort: n = 31,865; clinical cohort: n = 4534). In each cohort, the 5 years before a first demyelinating event or MS symptom onset (i.e., index date) were examined. We compared rates of GI-related physician visits and risk of ≥1 GI-related dispensation between MS cases and controls using negative binomial and robust Poisson models. Sex differences were tested using interaction terms. RESULTS: The administrative cohort MS cases had higher rates of physician visits related to gastritis and duodenitis (adjusted rate/risk ratio (aRR):1.42, 95% CI: 1.10-1.83) and diseases of the esophagus (aRR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.06-2.02) prior to the index date. MS cases also had greater risk of at least one dispensation for several drug classes, including constipation-related (aRR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.50-2.22), antiemetics/antinauseants (aRR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.43-1.89), and propulsives (promotility drugs; aRR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.47-1.79). Men had a disproportionally higher relative risk for propulsives than women (aRR: men = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.79-3.00; women = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.36-1.72). Several findings were similar in the smaller clinical cohort though none reached statistical significance. INTERPRETATION: GI-related physician visits and drug dispensations were more common in the 5 years before the first demyelinating event versus matched controls. GI symptoms are a measurable feature of the prodromal or early phase of MS, with a sex difference evident.

A cross-sectional study of MRI features and the gut microbiome in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify gut microbiome features associated with MRI lesion burden in persons with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (symptom onset <18 years). METHODS: A cross-sectional study involving the Canadian Paediatric Demyelinating Disease Network study participants. Gut microbiome features (alpha diversity, phylum- and genus-level taxa) were derived using 16S rRNA sequencing from stool samples. T1- and T2-weighted lesion volumes were measured on brain MRI obtained within 6 months of stool sample procurement. Associations between the gut microbiota and MRI metrics (cube-root-transformed) were assessed using standard and Lasso regression models. RESULTS: Thirty-four participants were included; mean ages at symptom onset and MRI were 15.1 and 19.0 years, respectively, and 79% were female. The T1- and T2-weighted lesion volumes were not significantly associated with alpha diversity (age and sex-adjusted p > 0.08). At the phylum level, high Tenericutes (relative abundance) was associated with higher T1 and T2 volumes (ß coefficient = 0.25, 0.37) and high Firmicutes, Patescibacteria or Actinobacteria with lower lesion volumes (ß coefficient = -0.30 to -0.07). At the genus level, high Ruminiclostridium, whereas low Coprococcus 3 and low Erysipelatoclostridium were associated with higher lesion volumes. INTERPRETATION: Our study characterized the gut microbiota features associated with MRI lesion burden in pediatric-onset MS, shedding light onto possible pathophysiological mechanisms.

Multiple sclerosis disease-modifying drug use by immigrants: a real-world study.

Little is known about disease-modifying drug (DMD) initiation by immigrants with multiple sclerosis (MS) in countries with universal health coverage. We assessed the association between immigration status and DMD use within 5-years after the first MS-related healthcare encounter. Using health administrative data, we identified MS cases in British Columbia (BC), Canada. The index date was the first MS-related healthcare encounter (MS/demyelinating disease-related diagnosis or DMD prescription filled), and ranged from 01/January/1996 to 31/December/2012. Those included were ≥ 18 years old, BC residents for ≥ 1-year pre- and ≥ 5-years post-index date. Persons becoming permanent residents 1985-2012 were defined as immigrants, all others were long-term residents. The association between immigration status and any DMD prescription filled within 5-years post-index date (with the latest study end date being 31/December/2017) was assessed using logistic regression, reported as adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We identified 8762 MS cases (522 were immigrants). Among immigrants of lower SES, odds of filling any DMD prescription were reduced, whereas they did not differ between immigrants and long-term residents across SES quintiles (aOR 0.96; 95%CI 0.78-1.19). Overall use (odds) of a first DMD within 5 years after the first MS-related encounter was associated with immigration status.

Are patients with primary glomerular disease at increased risk of malignancy?

Over the past decade, several observational studies and case series have provided evidence suggesting a connection between glomerular diseases (GN) and the development of malignancies, with an estimated risk ranging from 5%-11%. These malignancies include solid organ tumors as well as hematologic malignancies such as lymphoma and leukemia. However, these risk estimates are subject to several sources of bias, including unmeasured confounding from inadequate exploration of risk factors, inclusion of GN cases that were potentially secondary to an underlying malignancy, misclassification of GN type, and ascertainment bias arising from an increased likelihood of physician encounters compared to the general population. Consequently, population-based studies that accurately evaluate the cancer risk in GN populations are lacking. While it is speculated that long-term use of immunosuppressive medications and GN disease activity measured by proteinuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate may be associated with cancer risk in patients with GN, the independent role of these risk factors remains largely unknown. The presence of these knowledge gaps could lead to (i) lack of awareness of cancer as a potential chronic complication of GN, (ii) under-utilization of routine screening practices in clinical care that allow early diagnosis and treatment of malignancies, and (iii) under-recognition of modifiable risk factors to decrease the risk of de novo malignancies over time. This review summarizes the current evidence on the risk of cancer in patients with GN, explores the limitations of prior studies, and discusses methodological challenges and potential solutions for obtaining accurate estimates of cancer risk and identifying modifiable risk factors unique to GN populations.

Change in Hospital Risk-standardized Stroke Mortality Performance With and Without the Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity Score.

BACKGROUND: Adjustment for baseline stroke severity is necessary for accurate assessment of hospital performance. We evaluated whether adjusting for the Passive Surveillance Stroke SeVerity (PaSSV) score, a measure of stroke severity derived using administrative data, changed hospital-specific estimated 30-day risk-standardized mortality rate (RSMR) after stroke. METHODS: We used linked administrative data to identify adults who were hospitalized with ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage across 157 hospitals in Ontario, Canada between 2014 and 2019. We fitted a random effects logistic regression model using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate hospital-specific 30-day RSMR and 95% credible intervals with adjustment for age, sex, Charlson comorbidity index, and stroke type. In a separate model, we additionally adjusted for stroke severity using PaSSV. Hospitals were defined as low-performing, average-performing, or high-performing depending on whether the RSMR and 95% credible interval were above, overlapping, or below the cohort's crude mortality rate. RESULTS: We identified 65,082 patients [48.0% were female, the median age (25th,75th percentiles) was 76 years (65,84), and 86.4% had an ischemic stroke]. The crude 30-day all-cause mortality rate was 14.1%. The inclusion of PaSSV in the model reclassified 18.5% (n=29) of the hospitals. Of the 143 hospitals initially classified as average-performing, after adjustment for PaSSV, 20 were reclassified as high-performing and 8 were reclassified as low-performing. Of the 4 hospitals initially classified as low-performing, 1 was reclassified as high-performing. All 10 hospitals initially classified as high-performing remained unchanged. CONCLUSION: PaSSV may be useful for risk-adjusting mortality when comparing hospital performance. External validation of our findings in other jurisdictions is needed.

Regional Variation in Hemoglobin Distribution Among Individuals With CKD: the ISN International Network of CKD Cohorts.

Introduction: Despite recognized geographic and sex-based differences in hemoglobin in the general population, these factors are typically ignored in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in whom a single therapeutic range for hemoglobin is recommended. We sought to compare the distribution of hemoglobin across international nondialysis CKD populations and evaluate predictors of hemoglobin. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, hemoglobin distribution was evaluated in each cohort overall and stratified by sex and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Relationships between candidate predictors and hemoglobin were assessed from linear regression models in each cohort. Estimates were subsequently pooled in a random effects model. Results: A total of 58,613 participants from 21 adult cohorts (median eGFR range of 17-49 ml/min) and 3 pediatric cohorts (median eGFR range of 26-45 ml/min) were included with broad geographic representation. Hemoglobin values varied substantially among the cohorts, overall and within eGFR categories, with particularly low mean hemoglobin observed in women from Asian and African cohorts. Across the eGFR range, women had a lower hemoglobin compared to men, even at an eGFR of 15 ml/min (mean difference 5.3 g/l, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.7-6.9). Lower eGFR, female sex, older age, lower body mass index, and diabetic kidney disease were all independent predictors of a lower hemoglobin value; however, this only explained a minority of variance (R2 7%-44% across cohorts). Conclusion: There are substantial regional differences in hemoglobin distribution among individuals with CKD, and the majority of variance is unexplained by demographics, eGFR, or comorbidities. These findings call for a renewed interest in improving our understanding of hemoglobin determinants in specific CKD populations.

Psychiatric Comorbidity During the Prodromal Period in Patients With Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Psychiatric morbidity is common after a multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis. However, little is known about psychiatric comorbidity during the prodromal phase (before MS onset). To compare the prevalence and relative burden of psychiatric morbidity in individuals with MS with matched controls before MS onset. METHODS: Using linked administrative and clinical data from British Columbia, Canada, we identified cases with MS through a validated algorithm or from neurologist-diagnosed MS clinic attendees. Cases were matched by age, sex, and geographical location with up to 5 general population controls. We identified psychiatric morbidity through a validated definition and determined its prevalence in cases/controls in the 5 years before the first demyelinating claim of cases with MS ("administrative cohort") or symptom onset ("clinical cohort") and estimated case/control prevalence ratios with 95% CIs. We also compared the yearly number of physician visits for psychiatric morbidity, visits to psychiatrists, psychiatric-related admissions, and psychotropic dispensations pre-MS onset in cases/controls regardless of whether psychiatric morbidity algorithm was fulfilled using negative binomial regression fitted through generalized estimating equations; results were reported as adjusted rate ratios with 95% CIs. We assessed yearly trends through interaction terms between cases/controls and each year pre-MS onset. RESULTS: The administrative cohort comprised 6,863/31,865 cases/controls; the clinical cohort comprised 966/4,534 cases/controls. Over the entire 5-year period pre-MS onset, 28.0% (1,920/6,863) of cases and 14.9% (4,738/31,865) of controls (administrative cohort) had psychiatric morbidity, as did 22.0% (213/966) of clinical cases and 14.1% (638/4,534) controls. Psychiatric morbidity prevalence ratios ranged from 1.58; 95% CI 1.38-1.81 (clinical cohort) to 1.91; 95% CI 1.83-2.00 (administrative cohort). In the administrative cohort, health care use was higher for cases in each year pre-MS onset (all 95% CIs >1); physician visits were 78% higher in year 5 pre-MS onset and 124% 1 year before; visits to psychiatrists were 132% higher in year 5 and 146% in year 1; hospitalizations were 129% higher in year 5 and 197% in year 1; and prescription dispensations were 72% higher in year 5 and 100% in year 1. Results were not significant in the clinical cohort. DISCUSSION: Psychiatric morbidity represents a significant burden before MS onset and may be a feature of the MS prodrome.

Low socioeconomic status was associated with a higher mortality risk in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between socioeconomic status (SES) and mortality among persons with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) is poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between SES and mortality risk in PwMS. METHODS: From health-administrative data, we identified 12,126 incident MS cases with a first demyelinating event (MS 'onset') occurring between 1994 and 2017. Cox proportional hazard model assessed the association between socioeconomic status quintiles (SES-Qs) at MS onset and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Lower SES-Qs were associated with higher mortality risk; adjusted hazard ratios: SES-Q1 (most deprived) =1.61 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.36-1.91); SES-Q2 = 1.26 (95% CI = 1.05-1.50); SES-Q3 = 1.22 (95% CI = 1.02-1.46); SES-Q4 = 1.13 (95% CI = 0.94-1.35) versus SES-Q5 (least deprived). CONCLUSION: A lower SES was associated with higher mortality risk in PwMS.

Polypharmacy and multiple sclerosis: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about polypharmacy and multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVES: To estimate polypharmacy prevalence in a population-based MS cohort and compare persons with/without polypharmacy. METHODS: Using administrative and pharmacy data from Canada, we estimated polypharmacy prevalence (⩾5 concurrent medications for >30 consecutive days) in MS individuals in 2017. We compared the characteristics of persons with/without polypharmacy and described the number of polypharmacy days, the most common medication classes contributing to polypharmacy and hyper-polypharmacy prevalence (⩾10 medications). RESULTS: Of 14,227 included individuals (75% women), mean age = 55.4 (standard deviation (SD): 13.2) years; 28% (n = 3995) met criteria for polypharmacy (median polypharmacy days = 273 (interquartile range (IQR): 120-345)). Odds of polypharmacy were higher for women (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.14; 95% confidence intervals (CI):1.04-1.25), older individuals (aORs 50-64 years = 2.04; 95% CI:1.84-2.26; ⩾65 years = 3.26; 95% CI: 2.92-3.63 vs. <50 years), those with more comorbidities (e.g. ⩾3 vs. none, aOR = 6.03; 95% CI: 5.05-7.22) and lower socioeconomic status (SES) (e.g. most (SES-Q1) vs. least deprived (SES-Q5) aOR = 1.64; 95% CI: 1.44-1.86). Medication classes most commonly contributing to polypharmacy were as follows: antidepressants (66% of polypharmacy days), antiepileptics (47%), and peptic ulcer drugs (41%). Antidepressants were most frequently co-prescribed with antiepileptics (34% of polypharmacy days) and peptic ulcer drugs (27%). Five percent of persons (716/14,227) experienced hyper-polypharmacy. CONCLUSION: More than one in four MS persons met criteria for polypharmacy. The odds of polypharmacy were higher for women, older persons, and those with more comorbidities, but lower SES.

A Population-Based Analysis of the Risk of Glomerular Disease Relapse after COVID-19 Vaccination.

BACKGROUND: Although case reports have described relapses of glomerular disease after COVID-19 vaccination, evidence of a true association is lacking. In this population-level analysis, we sought to determine relative and absolute risks of glomerular disease relapse after COVID-19 vaccination. METHODS: In this retrospective population-level cohort study, we used a centralized clinical and pathology registry (2000-2020) to identify 1105 adult patients in British Columbia, Canada, with biopsy-proven glomerular disease that was stable on December 14, 2020 (when COVID-19 vaccines first became available). The primary outcome was disease relapse, on the basis of changes in kidney function, proteinuria, or both. Vaccination was modeled as a 30-day time-varying exposure in extended Cox regression models, stratified on disease type. RESULTS: During 281 days of follow-up, 134 (12.1%) patients experienced a relapse. Although a first vaccine dose was not associated with relapse risk (hazard ratio [HR]=0.67; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.33 to 1.36), exposure to a second or third dose was associated with a two-fold risk of relapse (HR=2.23; 95% CI, 1.06 to 4.71). The pattern of relative risk was similar across glomerular diseases. The absolute increase in 30-day relapse risk associated with a second or third vaccine dose varied from 1%-2% in ANCA-related glomerulonephritis, minimal change disease, membranous nephropathy, or FSGS to 3%-5% in IgA nephropathy or lupus nephritis. Among 24 patients experiencing a vaccine-associated relapse, 4 (17%) had a change in immunosuppression, and none required a biopsy. CONCLUSIONS: In a population-level cohort of patients with glomerular disease, a second or third dose of COVID-19 vaccine was associated with higher relative risk but low absolute increased risk of relapse.

Sex and age differences in the Multiple Sclerosis prodrome.

Background and objectives: Little is known of the potential sex and age differences in the MS prodrome. We investigated sex and age differences in healthcare utilization during the MS prodrome. Methods: This was a population-based matched cohort study linking administrative and clinical data from British Columbia, Canada (population = 5 million). MS cases in the 5 years preceding a first demyelinating event ("administrative cohort;" n = 6,863) or MS symptom onset ("clinical cohort;" n = 966) were compared to age-, sex- and geographically-matched controls (n = 31,865/4,534). Negative binomial and modified Poisson models were used to compare the rates of physician visits and hospitalizations per international classification of diseases chapter, and prescriptions filled per drug class, between MS cases and controls across sex and age-groups (< 30, 30-49, ≥50 years). Results: In the administrative cohort, males with MS had a higher relative rate for genitourinary-related visits (males: adjusted Rate Ratio (aRR) = 1.65, females: aRR = 1.19, likelihood ratio test P = 0.02) and antivertigo prescriptions (males: aRR = 4.72, females: aRR = 3.01 P < 0.01). Injury and infection-related hospitalizations were relatively more frequent for ≥50-year-olds (injuries < 30/30-49/≥50: aRR = 1.16/1.39/2.12, P < 0.01; infections 30-49/≥50: aRR = 1.43/2.72, P = 0.03), while sensory-related visits and cardiovascular prescriptions were relatively more common in younger persons (sensory 30-49/≥50: aRR = 1.67/1.45, P = 0.03; cardiovascular < 30/30-49/≥50: aRR = 1.56/1.39/1.18, P < 0.01). General practitioner visits were relatively more frequent in males (males: aRR = 1.63, females: aRR = 1.40, P < 0.01) and ≥50-year-olds (< 30/≥50: aRR = 1.32/1.55, P = 0.02), while differences in ophthalmologist visits were disproportionally larger among younger persons, < 50-years-old (< 30/30-49/≥50: aRR = 2.25/2.20/1.55, P < 0.01). None of the sex and age-related differences in the smaller clinical cohort reached significance (P ≥ 0.05). Discussion: Sex and age-specific differences in healthcare use were observed in the 5 years before MS onset. Findings demonstrate fundamental heterogeneity in the MS prodromal presentation.

From the prodromal stage of multiple sclerosis to disease prevention.

A prodrome is an early set of signs or symptoms that indicate the onset of a disease before more typical symptoms develop. Prodromal stages are well recognized in some neurological and immune-mediated diseases such as Parkinson disease, schizophrenia, type 1 diabetes mellitus and rheumatoid arthritis. Emerging evidence indicates that a prodromal stage exists in multiple sclerosis (MS), raising the possibility of intervention at this stage to delay or prevent the development of classical MS. However, much remains unclear about the prodromal stage of MS and considerable research is needed to fully characterize the prodrome and develop standardized criteria to reliably identify individuals with prodromal MS who are at high risk of progressing to a diagnosis of MS. In this Roadmap, we draw on work in other diseases to propose a disease framework for MS that incorporates the prodromal stage, and set out key steps and considerations needed in future research to fully characterize the MS prodrome, identify early disease markers and develop standardized criteria that will enable reliable identification of individuals with prodromal MS, thereby facilitating trials of interventions to slow or stop progression beyond the prodrome.

Disease-Modifying Drugs for Multiple Sclerosis and Association With Survival.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: We examined the association between the disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) for multiple sclerosis (MS) and survival in a multiregion population-based study. METHODS: We accessed multiple administrative health databases from 4 Canadian provinces. Persons with MS were identified and followed from the most recent of the first MS or demyelinating event or January 1, 1996 (index date), until death, emigration, or December 31, 2017. Association between the first-generation and second-generation DMDs and all-cause mortality was examined using stratified Cox proportional hazard models, reported as adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs). Timing of DMD initiation was explored, with findings reported at 2, 5, or 10 years postindex date, representing very early, early, or late initiation. RESULTS: We identified 35,894 persons with MS; 72% were female. The mean age at index date was 44.5 years (SD = 13.6). The total person-years of follow-up while DMD-exposed was 89,180, and total person-years while unexposed was 342,217. Compared with no exposure, exposure to any DMD or to any first-generation DMD was associated with a 26% lower hazard of mortality (both aHRs 0.74; 95% CI 0.56-0.98), while any second-generation DMD exposure was associated with a 33% lower hazard (aHR 0.67; 95% CI 0.46-0.98). Earlier DMD initiation (beta-interferon or glatiramer acetate vs no exposure) was associated with a significant mortality effect (p < 0.05), while later initiation was not (95% CIs included 1). However, the survival advantage with earlier initiation diminished over time, no longer reaching statistical significance at 15 years postindex date. DISCUSSION: Our study demonstrates an association between the DMDs for MS and improved survival in the real-world setting.

The metabolic potential of the paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis gut microbiome.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to examine the gut microbiome's metabolic potential in paediatric-onset MS patients (symptom onset <18 years). METHODS: We included 17 MS participants and 20 controls similar for sex, age, race, and stool consistency from the Canadian Paediatric Demyelinating Disease Network study. Stool-derived gut metagenome gene abundances were used to estimate relative abundances and turnover scores of individual microbial metabolites and the composition and diversity of carbohydrate-active enzymes (CAZymes). MS participants and controls were compared using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test, as were the disease-modifying drug (DMD) exposed and naïve MS participants. RESULTS: The median age(s) at MS symptom onset=16.1 years (interquartile range [IQR]=1.7), and at stool sample procurement=16.9/15.8 years (IQR=2.0/1.4), for the MS participants/controls. Most MS and control participants were girls (80-82%). Five (29%) of the MS participants had never been exposed to a DMD pre-stool sample and 12 (71%) had (7 to beta-interferon and 5 glatiramer acetate). While the relative abundance of metabolites did not differ between MS participants and controls, turnover scores did. MS participants had a greater potential to metabolize lipopolysaccharides than controls (score difference=1.6E-04, p = 0.034) but lower potential to metabolize peptidoglycan molecules and starch (score differences<2.2E-02, p<0.040). Further, although CAZymes diversity did not differ (p>0.050), starch-degrading subfamilies were underrepresented in MS participants versus controls (relative abundance differences >-0.34, p<0.040) and in the DMD exposed verses DMD naïve MS participants (relative abundance differences>-0.20, p<0.049). CONCLUSION: Paediatric-onset MS participants had an altered gut microbiome-related metabolic potential compared to controls, including higher breakdown of lipopolysaccharide molecules, but lower resistant starch metabolism.